2018 Valspar Championship - Predictions & Picks

This page offers analysis and predictions for the 2018 Valspar Championship. The defending champion is Adam Hadwin. The 2018 Valspar Championship is scheduled for March 8-11 at Innisbrook Resort in Tampa Bay, Florida.

TV Schedule
*Subject to change, error

March 8 - Round 1 - Golf Channel (2 PM ET)
March 9 - Round 2 - Golf Channel (2 PM ET)
March 10 - Round 3 - NBC (3 PM ET) *Golf Channel (1 PM ET)
March 11 - Final Round - NBC (3 PM ET) *Golf Channel (1 PM ET)

Trends / Predictions

✪ The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook is a highly underrated venue. The course is as tough as it gets on the PGA Tour without all the bells and whistles. Copperhead is designed to favor accuracy and ball striking over power. The rough here is demanding; some even compare it to the formidable U.S. Open rough. It also does not help that the greens are firm and undulating. Unsurprisingly, the average winning score for the event's entire history is only 11 under par. That is higher than 70 percent of the other events on the tour's schedule.

Driving Accuracy: Ryan Armour, Chez Reavie, Colt Knost, Brian Stuard, Kyle Stanley
Ball Striking: Gary Woodland, Paul Casey, Keegan Bradley, Kevin Streelman, Russell Knox
Rough Proximity: Ian Poulter, Kevin Streelman, Andrew Landry, Beau Hossler, Ryan Palmer
Scrambling: Kevin Streelman, Jordan Spieth, Webb Simpson, Cameron Smith, Brandt Snedeker

✪ Our analysis of the last ten champions finds the golfer most likely to succeed here to be one who scrambles well. Putting and short game are extremely important.

Best-Fit (non-champion): Brandt Snedeker, Ian Poulter, Ryan Moore, Webb Simpson, Justin Rose
Former champions: Adam Hadwin, Charl Schwartzel, Jordan Spieth, Kevin Streelman, Luke Donald, Gary Woodland, Jim Furyk, Retief Goosen, Sean O'Hair

✪ For a difficult course like Copperhead, current form is important. Regardless of your history with the course, you won't be able to salvage a round here playing poorly. A bad tee shot or a missed short putt here and there will pile up in the end, and you will likely be looking at an over par score. This is the reason why there has not been a back-to-back champion. In fact, very few winners record a top-10 finish in the immediate year following their victories.

FedEx Cup: Tony Finau, Chez Reavie, Gary Woodland, Austin Cook, Justin Rose
Confidence Index: 1. Justin Rose 2. Tony Finau 3. Sergio Garcia 4. Gary Woodland 5. Tiger Woods

Prediction: Tony Finau wins 2018 Valspar Championship

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