2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational - Predictions, TV Schedule

This page provides TV schedule and predictions for the 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational. The winner will receive a three-year PGA Tour exemption. The defending champion is Marc Leishman. The 2018 Arnold Palmer Invitational is scheduled for March 15-18 at the Bay Hill Club and Lodge.

TV Schedule
*Subject to change, error

March 15 - Round 1 - Golf Channel (2 PM ET)
March 16 - Round 2 - Golf Channel (2 PM ET)
March 17 - Round 3 - NBC (2:30 PM ET) *Golf Channel (12:30 PM ET)
March 18 - Final Round - NBC (2 PM ET) *Golf Channel (12:30 PM ET)

Trends / Predictions

✪ The Arnold Palmer Invitational bears the King's name, but another legend has been hoisting trophies at Bay Hill. Tiger Woods was an eight-time champion of the prestigious event -- six more trophies than any other player. A resurgent Woods is returning to Bay Hill in hope of putting an end to his winless streak. After a strong performance at the Honda Classic, Tiger continued his good form at Copperhead where he contended for all four rounds. If he ended up winning his ninth Bay Hill title this week, it would be very fitting.

Tiger's Season: Valspar (T2), Honda (12th), Genesis (cut), Farmers (T23)

✪ The Invitational is one of those PGA Tour events where previous records matter. Players who have played well here tend to continue to play well. Take Matt Every for example. The 34-year-old plays poorly everywhere except Bay Hill where he was a two-time winner. Every has seven missed cuts and no top-50 finishes this season, but you shouldn't count him and other course specialists out.

Past Winners: Marc Leishman, Jason Day, Matt Every (2), Tiger Woods (8), Martin Laird, Ernie Els (2), Vijay Singh, Tim Herron
Non-Winners: Justin Rose (7 top-25s including a runner-up), Graeme McDowell (2 runner-ups), Henrik Stenson (5 top-15s), Zach Johnson (6 top-11s)

✪ Bay Hill shares similarities with other great Florida courses. There are lots of bunkers and water hazards on this course. One poor shot is likely to result in a bogey or worse. Also, the greens here are tough to read. When sustained winds exceed 10 mph, the course's difficulty increases two folds. Fortunately, the current forecast calls for less than 10 mph in average wind speed from Thursday through Sunday. This is conducive to low scoring and also favors tee-to-green players over wind specialists.

SG Tee to Green: Adam Scott (#1), Tommy Fleetwood (#2), Hideki Matsuyama (#5), Keegan Bradley (#6), Alex Noren (#8)
Scoring Average: Alex Noren (#3), Tommy Fleetwood (#4), Tiger Woods (#5), Jason Day (#6), Justin Rose (#7)
Bogey Avoidance: Kevin Streelman (#1), Zach Johnson (#2), Rickie Fowler (#6), Patton Kizzire (#7), Brian Harman (#9)

✪ Course familiarity and compatibility are as important this week as current form. We should be looking at players who have been playing well but also enjoy a solid record on this course.

2017 Top 10: Marc Leishman, Charley Hoffman, Kevin Kisner, Tyrrell Hatton, Rory McIlroy, Lucas Glover, Emiliano Grillo, Francesco Molinari, Tommy Fleetwood, Hudson Swafford
Confidence Index: 1. Tiger Woods 2. Jason Day 3. Justin Rose 4. Alex Noren 5. Tommy Fleetwood

Picks

Long Shot: Keegan Bradley
Safest Pick: Justin Rose
Winner: Tommy Fleetwood

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