2017 Shell Houston Open Predictions

Who will win the 2017 Shell Houston Open? This championship is used by many top players as a key tune-up for the Masters. Our research staff offers previews and predictions. The 2017 Shell Houston Open is scheduled for March 30 through April 2 at the Golf Club of Houston.

Alert: Dustin Johnson withdrew from Shell Houston Open


World Rankings
Henrik Stenson - 5
Jordan Spieth - 6
Adam Scott - 7
Rickie Fowler - 9

Course Compatibility
Phil Mickelson - 2011 winner, six straight top-25s.
J.B. Holmes - 2015 champion, a second place and two other top-15s.
Henrik Stenson - Runner-up in 2016 and 2013.
Jordan Spieth - Two top-15s in three career starts including a runner-up.
Charles Howell III - T7 last year and T5 in 2015, five career top-20s.

SG Approach The Green
Jordan Spieth 1.357
Kyle Stanley 0.870
Rickie Fowler 0.846
Jon Rahm 0.827

SG Putting
Michael Thompson 0.924
Michael Kim 0.812
Phil Mickelson 0.806
Luke Donald 0.798
Rickie Fowler 0.775

Recent Form
Jon Rahm - One win and three other top-5s in his last five starts.
Jordan Spieth - Excluding match play, he has yet to finish outside the top 25 this year.
Rickie Fowler - One win and two other top-20s in his last three starts.
Charley Hoffman - T2 at Bayhill and T4 at Riviera.

Modified JScore
1. Jordan Spieth +2.0
2. Rickie Fowler -2.5
3. Phil Mickelson -6.0
4. Jon Rahm -8.5
5. Henrik Stenson -9.0


Winner: Jon Rahm. Due to Dustin Johnson's late withdrawal, we have changed our winner's pick. Rising star Rahm has made quite an impression this season. In his last five starts, he finished in the top 5 four times including an emphatic victory at the Farmers. The other time was a solid T16. What is even more impressive is the fact he was playing these courses for the first time; the lone exception was TPC Scottsdale. In an effort to emulate the Augusta National, the Golf Club of Houston features little to no rough. Rahm's length should allow him to hit a wedge or a short iron to most of the pins. The greens here are quick, but Rahm has shown to be a solid putter.

Top 10 Finish: Phil Mickelson. While most of the top players treat this PGA Tour stop as a mere warm-up to the Masters, it is not the case with Mickelson. Starting with his 2011 victory, he has recorded six straight top-25 finishes at the Houston Open. This is not a surprise as the course setup at the Golf Club of Houston is similar to that of Augusta National, where the Big Lefty is a three-time champion. As Mickelson has not won on tour since 2013, he will be motivated to compete for the title this week. A win here will give him the confidence needed to contend at the Masters.

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