2017 Oscars Predictions

Who will win the 2017 Oscars? Our research staff offers winner's predictions for the six major categories. The 2017 Oscars is scheduled for Sunday February 26 at 8:30 PM ET on ABC.

Predictions

🎦Best Picture

Winner: La La Land. Our model predicts La La Land will narrowly edge out Hidden Figures and Hacksaw Ridge for Best Picture. Hacksaw Ridge was the top contender in the early going but has faded in the final stretch, while Hidden Figures' surge in popularity comes a bit late. In the current political climate, there is a slight chance of an upset with Hidden Figures being the beneficiary.

La La Land 35%
Hidden Figures 30%
Hacksaw Ridge 25%

🎥Best Director

Winner: Damien Chazelle. La La Land has dominated most of the major awards outside of the Oscars and that generally indicates a Best Director award for its director. Our model predicts Chazelle will easily win the coveted award.

Damien Chazelle 55%
Denis Villeneuve 25%
Barry Jenkins 10%

🤵Best Actor

Winner: Ryan Gosling. This category is the toughest to predict with three fine contenders in Casey Affleck (Manchester by the Sea), Denzel Washington (Fences) and Ryan Gosling (La La Land). While several movie critics have predicted a Washington's win, our model sees an upset in Gosling winning Best Actor. La La Land is the standout movie in this Oscars season and Gosling may stand to benefit from it.

Ryan Gosling 30%
Denzel Washington 29%
Casey Affleck 27.5%

🌸Best Actress

Winner: Emma Stone. Stone has received universally acclaimed for her performance in La La Land. She won Best Actress at the SAG, the BAFTA and the Golden Globe. Our model predicts Stone will win Best Actress with a 60% certainty.

Emma Stone 60%
Isabelle Huppert 25%
Natalie Portman 10%

🎩Best Supporting Actor

Winner: Dev Patel. Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) has been the top favorite to win this category, but Dev Patel (Lion) has seen his stock rising dramatically in the final stretch. At the recent BAFTA Awards, Patel pulled a huge upset over Ali to win Best Supporting Actor. His ascension is confirmed by our model which predicts Patel narrowly edges out Ali by a slim margin. We should not count out veteran star Jeff Bridges. In a tight contest, an outside contender might stand to benefit.

Dev Patel 40%
Mahershala Ali 35%
Jeff Bridges 15%

👒Best Supporting Actress

Winner: Viola Davis. Our model suggests Viola Davis from Fences will win Best Supporting Actress with a 60% certainty. Davis also won the same category at the British Academy Film Awards and the Golden Globe. Michelle Williams from Manchester by the Sea comes second with a 20% chance of winning.

Viola Davis 60%
Michelle Williams 20%
Naomie Harris 10%