2017 Genesis Open Predictions

Who will win the 2017 Genesis Open? The tournament was previously called the Northern Trust Open. Our research staff offers predictions and analysis. The 2017 Genesis Open is scheduled for February 16-19 at the famed Riviera Country Club.

Analysis

Jordan Spieth 
JScore: 6
Pros
⦿ Winner of Pebble Beach Pro-Am, four top-10 in four starts this season.
⦿ Best finish at Riviera is T4 (2015).
⦿ Course compatibility is high.
⦿ Great iron game, excellent putter.
Cons
⦾ Missed cut here last year.

Dustin Johnson
JScore: 5
Pros
⦿ Best player without a Genesis Open title, five top-5 finishes with two runner-ups.
⦿ Finished third last week in Pebble Beach.
⦿ Has the length to over-power this course.
Cons
⦾ 163th in approach the green, 190th in putting.

Adam Scott
JScore: 5
Pros
⦿ Former champion, T2 last year.
⦿ Course compatibility is high.
⦿ One of the best iron players on tour.
Cons
⦾ First PGA Tour start of 2017.

Justin Rose
JScore: 3
Pros
⦿ Two top-4s in three starts this season.
⦿ Lots of starts at Riviera.
⦿ Course compatibility is medium.
Cons
⦾ Only one top-10 in nine career starts.

Justin Thomas
JScore: 3
Pros
⦿ Terrific form, three titles this season.
⦿ Made cut in both appearances at Riviera.
Cons
⦾ Best finish is T41.

Predictions

🏆Winner: Jordan Spieth. Momentum has been the headline on the PGA Tour this season. Hideki Matsuyama started the season with a WGC title and two second-place finishes; he also had three other worldwide wins in that span. Justin Thomas dominated the Hawaii swing with two emphatic wins and a 59. Hudson Swafford contended at the Sony Open and followed it up with his first career win the very next week. Jon Rahm won the Farmers and finished T5 last week. After three straight top-10 finishes, Spieth earned his 9th tour victory at Pebble Beach.

The two-time major winner should be able to extend his strong play to Riviera -- one of his favorite courses. Spieth won a NCAA title on this classic course and finished T4 two years ago at the then Northern Trust Open. In term of course compatibility, the 23-year-old star is an excellent fit for Riviera. His iron game has been sparkling and his putting has come around. Incidentally, Riviera has been kind to Masters champions; Phil Mickelson, Bubba Watson, Adam Scott, Mike Weir and Fred Couples have all won here. With a field that includes world no. 1 Jason Day and Hideki Matsuyama, winning here won't be easy. However, we believe Spieth has the confidence and game to win this week.

💳Top 10 Finish: Hideki Matsuyama. The Japanese star has improved his placement from the previous year in each of his six starts this season. (He did not play last year's Tournament of Champions but had a T3 in 2015.) Riviera is an old-style course that favors strong iron players; Matsuyama happens to be one of the best in the world. Unsurprisingly, the Japanese has never finished outside the top 25 on this course. Since he finished T11 here last year, it is probably a good bet that he would finish in the top 10 this year.